Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 108.170791 119.687738 131.402153 144.179625 157.694932 171.537353 186.758278
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 89.680865 106.411943 124.124955 144.155677 166.062630 189.186118 215.331767
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 77.383665 96.905631 118.206337 142.931492 170.609364 200.423592 234.755287
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 69.794482 91.549242 115.898448 144.772117 177.697671 213.728014 255.796989
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 64.011593 87.569728 114.543357 147.127514 184.872237 226.721229 276.141411
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 57.184413 81.733234 110.503728 145.908262 187.554853 234.315508 290.132289
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 50.360762 75.346363 105.337224 142.933312 187.827851 238.850211 300.377885
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 48.031871 74.341775 106.479287 147.303388 196.570195 253.033660 321.599258
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 45.381226 72.700457 106.660953 150.366362 203.653135 265.217054 340.472909
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 41.047177 68.550591 103.461343 149.077728 205.352400 270.964602 351.768115
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.137630 64.693267 100.406952 147.770207 206.863703 276.361569 362.550484
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 34.587389 62.522335 99.386085 148.893178 211.246671 285.104378 377.225245
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 31.922947 60.054889 97.896685 149.387938 214.872308 293.004584 391.020899
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 29.680523 58.046411 96.910364 150.448608 219.151502 301.673184 405.741745
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 26.773526 54.844077 94.142591 149.053527 220.241095 306.391083 415.673937
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 25.210795 53.566951 93.937300 150.959980 225.455531 316.114340 431.616612
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 23.930130 52.636124 94.150125 153.374386 231.288271 326.586323 448.472070
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 21.631224 49.916369 91.706160 152.123752 232.345564 331.117764 458.088926
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 19.012629 46.458159 88.035964 149.071045 230.961744 332.535833 463.843855
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 18.650366 46.777556 89.869826 153.555080 239.390650 346.198337 484.605758
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 17.956406 46.471344 90.745677 156.697148 246.059421 357.668219 502.701359
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 16.182704 44.124537 88.470375 155.375315 246.798806 361.653688 511.562510
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 14.545316 41.878703 86.242470 154.033994 247.446097 365.475776 520.189186